Vane
74%

of Solana tokens are silent within 24 hours of launch.

measured 2026-08-05 · n = 47 · one 24-hour window · "silent" = no trade in 6h
small sample, stated plainly. larger ones will be published with their intervals.

When a token dies the chart just stops, and whoever is still holding it gets no explanation. Everything needed to reconstruct what happened is public. Vane assembles it into something a person can read — who deployed it, how old that wallet was, who took supply in the launch block, and the single transaction that ended it.

Not live yet. The tooling behind it is public and working today.

Observables, never intent

The difference between a useful report and a lawsuit is one sentence, so it is worth being exact about which sentences Vane will write.

“The deployer wallet existed for 84 minutes before launch, and took 100% of supply in the launch block.” A fact. Every figure reproducible from the signatures cited.
“This is a scam.” An accusation. Vane does not make them.

What it does

  • Reconstructs the chronology — deployment, launch block, liquidity curve, the death event
  • Names the sample size next to every rate, including the ones that look bad
  • States what it cannot see on every report, with a versioned detector id
  • Publishes aggregates first — launchpad survival needs no prediction

What it won't

  • No verdicts. "Rug" is not a detector output
  • No faces. Accounts that mentioned a token are listed by when, never as participants
  • No accounts, no tracking. Nothing is stored about you
  • No confident numbers for things that cannot be measured

Built in the open, mistakes included

A tool that claims to tell you what really happened has to be willing to show when it got something wrong. Four parser bugs so far, two still open — all of which returned plausible wrong answers rather than errors. The build log says what works today and what doesn't.